IDG News Service: Although Microsoft has dropped a plan to wait nearly two years after the launch of Windows 7 to release the first service pack, so will the first major update of the new operating system does not come until the fourth quarter of this year, assesses a website, which before had foretold the roadmap for Windows with great precision.
One analyst believes that it would be smart for Microsoft to reconsider the case and postpone the first service pack as long as possible.
The Malaysian websiteTechARP.com has accurately predicted release date of previous service packs for both Windows XP and Vista and now says that anonymous sources had initially reported on a development cycle of 22 months for Windows 7 Service Pack 1 (SP1). But Microsoft has since changed its mind ostensibly to counter an unknown number of "serious" performance problems.
"The earliest, Microsoft realistically is able to issue Service Pack 1 for Windows 7, is in the last quarter of 2010," assesses site.
This timetable would actually fit with the schedule that Microsoft has followed for previous operating systems. The company released Windows XP SP1 a little over 10 months after the release of XP in October 2001 and released the first service pack for Vista, about 12 months after Vista's launch to retail in January 2007.
"There are no rules for a service pack," observes Michael Cherry, an analyst at Directions on Microsoft. "It is a psychological milestone. They have trained us to wait for SP1."
However, it would benefit Microsoft to expose Windows 7 SP1, argues Michael Cherry.
"Windows 7 is pretty good momentum right now, but it might diminish if they announced a service pack. When people would understandably expect. It would put a damper on the good sales that are underway right now," he says
Good time to break habits
Microsoft has, according to his finance director, Peter Klein, sold 90 million licenses for Windows 7 since July 2009.
Microsoft refused to comment on TechARP's score, and generally a service pack for Windows 7
"According to Microsoft's policy we do not comment on rumors and speculation," says a spokeswoman via email.
"We have nothing new to publish at this time."
"If Microsoft would like to break people's habit of waiting for a SP1, this would be a good time," Cherry notes referring to Windows 7's popularity and the almost unanimous praise, the operating system has received.
"I do not hear about any major problems with Windows 7, so if you also this time waiting for SP1, you might do themselves a disservice."
It is possible that Microsoft is actually skeptical about posting the service pack because of the positive reception of Windows 7 and the risk that a buggy service pack will saw off the branch on which it sits on. "When you sit with a good success, is a bad service pack is the last thing we want," says Cherry.
Incriminating
When Microsoft first released Vista in 2007, argued that managers from the company for a service pack would not be necessary since Windows Update to deliver patches, as they became available. The setting was Microsoft, however, away from the back and did not come with the same argument in relation to Windows 7
Cherry explain why it is still a need for a service pack.
"When a person buys a new computer and goes into Windows Update, and waiting 50, 60, 70 updates, so it becomes a stressful time."
Microsoft has released several stability and reliability updates for Windows 7 since its launch in late October. Stability update from January, however, got some Windows 7 systems to freeze and display the dreaded error screen Blue Screen of Death. These events were; however, according to Microsoft is not a "major problem."



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